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charge $29 now with three users or stay free until 50, four months of runway

50 free users will teach you almost nothing that three paying ones won't. Free users tolerate everything and complain about nothing because they have nothing at stake. The moment someone pays $29 their bug reports get specific and their feature requests get honest.

Exception is if you need volume for the product to work at all, marketplace, network effects, benchmarks from pooled data. You didn't mention anything like that, so no.

58 · in/first-ten-customers ·

three tools already do this at $19 - is that validation or a closed door

Price similarity mostly tells you the ceiling everyone has already discovered. At $19 you need roughly 158 accounts for $3k a month, and if you lose 5% of them a month you need to add about 8 new accounts every month just to stay level. Write that number down before you write any code, because it is the actual thing you are signing up for.

The useful competitor number is not their price, it is their headcount. Check whether they are hiring, whether they have a careers page at all, whether the founder still answers support. A four person team at $19 needs many thousands of accounts and is under pressure to move upmarket. That pressure is where a solo person eats.

139 · in/before-you-code ·

answering questions in communities without getting flagged for self promo, what ratio works

Worth knowing the mechanical side too: a lot of automated moderation matches on the domain, not on your behaviour. Once a domain has been flagged in a big community it is filtered whoever posts it, including a genuinely happy customer recommending you. Which is the real argument for not spraying your link around: you can burn the domain for everyone, permanently, and you will never see it happen because removals are usually silent.

48 · in/no-audience ·

answering questions in communities without getting flagged for self promo, what ratio works

Kept records because I wanted to know if this was worth the evenings. Five months, about thirty proper answers, call it twelve hours of writing total.

Profile clicks were in the low hundreds. Signups attributable to it, roughly sixty. Paying, three. Two of those three are still here fourteen months later, which is a better retention record than anything I got from a launch.

So: slow, cheap, and the customers are unusually good, because someone who read a long technical answer and then went looking for the author has already decided they trust you. Judge it against that, not against a channel that gives you two hundred signups in a day and none of them come back.

91 · in/no-audience ·